Predictions for 2026: the cyber security threats businesses need to be ready for
5 min read.
The start of a new year is a good moment to get realistic about risk.
Not in a dramatic way and not to overwhelm teams with technical detail. Simply to acknowledge that the cyber security landscape is changing quickly for UK businesses, and that the organisations that cope best are the ones that stay calm, consistent and focused on the fundamentals.
Here are Netprotocol’s predictions for what will matter most in 2026 and what businesses should be doing now to stay protected.
1) AI-driven phishing will become one of the biggest cyber threats in 2026
Phishing isn’t new. What is changing, is the speed at which it can now be produced, tested and refined.
In 2026 we expect to see:
More convincing emails and messages, written in the tone and language people trust
Campaigns that evolve daily, making “we’ve seen this before” far less effective
While social media channels may also start to become a target, email will continue to be the primary delivery method for these attacks due to its reach, familiarity and direct access to business workflows.
The result is simple. People will be targeted more effectively, more often, and at a far greater scale.
What to do about it: assume more messages will look legitimate. Reduce reliance on users spotting red flags and increase the controls that limit impact when something slips through.
2) Microsoft 365 account hijacking will continue to rise
For many organisations, Microsoft 365 sits at the centre of daily operations. Email, files, Teams, calendars, approvals and financial conversations.
That makes it an increasingly attractive target.
In 2026, we expect more attacks where adversaries:
Gain access and act immediately
Or gain access and sit quietly, learning how the business operates
By waiting for the right moment, for example during a legitimate transaction, attackers can cause far more damage with a single intervention.
What to do about it: treat identity and email security as business-critical, not just IT hygiene. Make it difficult to gain access and fast to detect if it happens.
3) Why MFA alone will not be enough in 2026
Multi-factor authentication remains essential, but it is no longer the reassurance many organisations believe it to be.
We are seeing increased use of techniques such as session or token theft, where attackers capture a valid login session and reuse it without triggering additional prompts.
As a result, 2026 will place greater emphasis on:
Stronger identity and access policies
Tighter conditions around where and how users can sign in
Monitoring that highlights unusual behaviour quickly
Clear, confident response when something isn’t right
As identity-based attacks become harder to spot, technologies that monitor for unusual behaviour and anomalies will play an increasingly important role. Platforms such as Arctic Wolf and Darktrace help organisations detect suspicious activity early and respond before damage occurs.
What to do about it: keep MFA, but build beyond it. Conditional access, session controls and active monitoring matter just as much.
4) Security drift will quietly increase business risk
Most organisations don’t become vulnerable overnight.
They become vulnerable slowly.
Temporary access is granted for travel. A policy is relaxed to solve a short-term problem. New Microsoft 365 features appear and are never enabled. Over time, these small changes accumulate.
The baseline you thought you were running no longer reflects reality.
What to do about it: treat security as something that needs ongoing ownership. Regular review and correction is just as important as initial setup.
5) Layered cyber security will matter more than perfection
No organisation is completely impenetrable. But some are significantly harder to compromise than others.
In 2026, relying on a single security layer will become increasingly risky. Stronger environments typically include:
A dedicated email security layer, not just native filtering
Actively managed endpoint protection
Monitoring that detects account compromise early
Well-maintained identity and access policies
User awareness that encourages healthy scepticism
It’s not about doing everything. It’s about doing the right things consistently.
What to do about it: build a layered security posture that raises the cost and effort required to compromise your organisation.
What Netprotocol recommends for cyber security in 2026
For most organisations, a practical approach looks like this:
Establish a strong Microsoft 365 security baseline
Keep that baseline aligned as Microsoft and your business evolve
Detect account compromise quickly and respond with confidence
Reduce policy drift and temporary exceptions
Add sensible layers so you’re not reliant on a single control
How Netprotocol 365 Policy Plus helps reduce 2026 security risks
A major challenge for organisations in 2026 will be keeping security aligned as platforms and working patterns continue to change.
Netprotocol 365 Policy Plus is designed to help:
Maintain a strong, consistent Microsoft 365 security baseline
Highlight deviations from that baseline as they occur
Prompt timely review and correction, rather than relying on memory
It is a practical way to reduce risk without adding unnecessary complexity.
A final thought for business leaders
Improving security doesn’t require a dramatic overhaul or an unlimited budget.
But it does require recognising that there is always more you can do to protect your organisation.
The most important step in 2026 is a simple one.
Be more secure than you are today and take action to make it happen.